King Leads with 18-Point Advantage


Wall Lake, IA - King for Congress released the following statement and memorandum from WPA Intelligence showing King has a strong 18 point lead over his opponent.

“Iowa voters are overwhelmingly choosing to stick with Congressman Steve King’s proven leadership and they are rejecting his opponent’s nasty, desperate, and dishonest attacks funded by San Francisco liberals.” 


The following memorandum, prepared on behalf of Steve King for Congress, details key findings from a survey conducted by WPA Intelligence among likely general election voters in Iowa’s Fourth Congressional District.   Interviews were collected from October 22-24, 2018 among n=401 likely voters.  The margin of error is ±4.9%.

Congressman King Leads with 18-Point Advantage and Majority of the Ballot Share

Incumbent Congressman Steve King has a commanding, 18-point lead in the race to represent Iowa’s Fourth Congressional District.  Fifty-two percent (52%) of likely general election voters support King on the ballot.  Democrat challenger J.D. Scholten trails King, receiving thirty-four percent (34%) of the ballot share.  Eleven percent (11%) are undecided while roughly three percent (3%) report they would support a third-party candidate.


Research Design

WPA Intelligence conducted a study of likely voters in Iowa’s 4th Congressional District.

WPAi selected a random sample of registered voters from the Iowa voter file using Proportional Probability Sampling (PPS).  The sample for this survey was stratified based on geography, party, age, and gender.  This methodology allows us to avoid post-survey “weighting” which can reduce the reliability of survey results.

Respondents were contacted by phone via a live telephone operator interview from October 22-24, 2018.  The study has a sample size of n=401 likely general election voters with a margin of error of ±4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.

About WPAi

Since 1998, WPAi has been a leading provider of political polling for campaigns from President to Governor and U.S. Senate to Mayor and City Council in all 50 states and several foreign countries.  In the 2015-2016 election cycle, 87% of WPAi clients won. WPAi clients' win ratio has exceeded the standard by double digits for four straight political cycles.

WPAi has been nationally recognized for providing cutting edge research to help our clients win.  The American Association of Political Consultants (AAPC) awarded a “Pollie” to WPAi for our Predictive Analytics and Adaptive Sampling techniques, and Campaigns and Elections magazine awarded WPAi with a “Reed Award” for developing an “optimized field program” in 2018. These awards highlight WPAi’s advanced survey research and data science methodology, allowing us to buck national polling trends and deliver industry-leading results for our clients.

In addition to our political and policy research, WPAi has conducted market research for more than 120 United States Fortune 500 corporations, donor research for more than 250 of the largest and most successful not-for-profit organizations around the country, and alumni research for dozens of colleges and universities.